Senator Therese Terlaje (D) and her running mate, Senator Sabina Perez (D), lead Guam’s race for governor in Pasquines’ October 2026 Elections Territorial Poll, with 57.9% of registered voters. Senator Vicente “Tony” Ada (R) and his running mate, Edward John “EJ” Calvo (R), received 35.4%, and 6.7% chose none of the above.
In the race for Guam’s delegate to the United States House of Representatives, Alicia Limtiaco (D) leads Delegate James Moylan (R), 68.8% to 24.5%. Another 3.3% chose none of the above, and 3.3% were undecided.
Both races are open contests for change. Governor Lou Leon Guerrero (D) is term-limited, so Guam will have a new governor. Moylan, first elected in 2022 and reelected in 2024, is seeking a third term against Limtiaco. She is a former attorney general of Guam and a former US Attorney for the Districts of Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands. Guam’s delegate can vote in committee but not on final passage on the House floor.
Ticket splitting in the delegate race
Limtiaco ran about 11 points ahead of the Democratic ticket for governor. Respondents who backed Ada and Calvo split evenly in the delegate race: 50.0% chose Limtiaco, and 50.0% chose Moylan. Among Terlaje-Perez supporters, 76.7% chose Limtiaco, and 11.8% chose Moylan.
Limtiaco also had the highest favorable rating of any Guam candidate in the poll: 71.9% favorable and 17.5% unfavorable. Terlaje was viewed favorably by 62.0% and unfavorably by 23.6%, and Perez by 55.2% and 24.1%. Ada’s ratings were stronger than his ticket’s vote share, at 55.0% favorable and 38.6% unfavorable. Calvo was viewed favorably by 38.7% and unfavorably by 42.2%, and 19.0% were undecided about him, the most of any candidate. Moylan was viewed unfavorably by 55.4% and favorably by 34.7%.
The outgoing administration fared worse. Leon Guerrero was viewed unfavorably by 56.0% and favorably by 41.0%. Lieutenant Governor Joshua Tenorio (D), who lost the Democratic primary for governor to Terlaje and Perez by 452 votes, was viewed unfavorably by 59.8% and favorably by 37.2%. In Guam, 63.6% viewed President Donald Trump (R) unfavorably.
Attorney general
In the nonpartisan race for attorney general, Phillip James Tydingco led with 74.0%. Peter John Santos followed with 12.2%. Attorney General Douglas Moylan, who is seeking reelection, received 7.1%, and Jordan Lawrence Evangelista Pauluhn received 6.7%.
Political status
Asked for their preferred political status for Guam, 30.7% chose the current territorial status, and 28.9% chose independence with a free association pact. Another 20.5% chose statehood, 3.1% chose independence, and 16.8% were undecided.
A separate approval-voting question let respondents approve of more than one option. In it, 49.6% approved of the current status, 45.4% of free association, 33.5% of statehood, and 9.4% of independence.
About the poll
The results should be read with caution. In Pasquines’ 2024 poll, Ginger Cruz (D) led Moylan with 66.5% in the delegate race, but Moylan won reelection. That poll was not weighted.
This year’s poll was open online from October 15 to October 28, 2026. Anyone with the link could answer it, so it was an opt-in poll, not a random sample. Guam’s results reflect 30 registered voters. Each response was weighted by the respondent’s reported vote in the 2022 governor’s race, based on the official results.
Polls will open from 7 am to 8 pm ChST on November 3, 2026, with results expected soon after.
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